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Tech · Jony Ive

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

$304K volume$37.39 24hEnds Dec 31, 202610 outcomesLive

Chart

Winner probabilities

All CLOB

Earbuds/Headphones 22cGlasses 21cClip-on device for clothing 20.5cPhone 17.5cWatch 15.5c

Markets

Outcome prices

10 outcomes

Glasses$47K vol

21cSelected

Buy Yes 21c Buy No 79c

Earbuds/Headphones$110K vol

22cChance

Buy Yes 22c Buy No 78c

Clip-on device for clothing$25K vol

20.5cChance

Buy Yes 20.5c Buy No 79.5c

Phone$35K vol

17.5cChance

Buy Yes 17.5c Buy No 82.5c

Watch$34K vol

15.5cChance

Buy Yes 15.5c Buy No 84.5c

Tablet$4K vol

12.9cChance

Buy Yes 12.9c Buy No 87.1c

Computer (Laptop/Desktop)$22K vol

12.5cChance

Buy Yes 12.5c Buy No 87.5c

Ring$4K vol

11.5cChance

Buy Yes 11.5c Buy No 88.5c

Head-mounted display$4K vol

11.5cChance

Buy Yes 11.5c Buy No 88.5c

Necklace$19K vol

9.5cChance

Buy Yes 9.5c Buy No 90.5c

Live

This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released.

If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes".

The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.

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Outcome proposed

Pending

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Dispute window

Open until resolution

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Final outcome

Awaiting official result