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Economy · Macro Indicators

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?

$45K volume$5K 24hEnds Jul 16, 20269 outcomesLive

Chart

Winner probabilities

All CLOB

4.6-4.9% 68c4.9-5.2% 22.5c5.2-5.5% 6c4.3-4.6% 2.2c4.0-4.3% 1.1c6.1%+ 0.2c

Markets

Outcome prices

9 outcomes

6.1%+$3K vol

0.2cSelected

Buy Yes 0.2c Buy No 99.9c

4.6-4.9%$11K vol

68cChance

Buy Yes 68c Buy No 32c

4.9-5.2%$5K vol

22.5cChance

Buy Yes 22.5c Buy No 77.5c

5.2-5.5%$6K vol

6cChance

Buy Yes 6c Buy No 94c

4.3-4.6%$4K vol

2.2cChance

Buy Yes 2.2c Buy No 97.8c

4.0-4.3%$4K vol

1.1cChance

Buy Yes 1.1c Buy No 99c

<4.0%$4K vol

0.8cChance

Buy Yes 0.8c Buy No 99.3c

5.5-5.8%$4K vol

0.4cChance

Buy Yes 0.4c Buy No 99.7c

5.8-6.1%$3K vol

0.2cChance

Buy Yes 0.2c Buy No 99.9c

Live

This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 16, 2026.

The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.

OK

Outcome proposed

No

OK

Dispute window

No dispute

OK

Final outcome

No