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Politics · Trump

US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30?

$15K volume$301.40 24hEnds Jun 30, 202612.5c yesLive
Chart

Probability history

1D CLOB
YES 12.5cNO 87.5c
Market

Outcome prices

YES / NO
Live

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the United States federal government officially announces any reduction, suspension, removal, or similar relief for U.S. sanctions related to the sale or transport of oil, fuel or other petroleum products to Cuba between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.

An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.

Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.

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Outcome proposed

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