Back to Predictions

Politics · Global Elections

Colombia Presidential Election

$36M volume$177K 24hEnds Jun 21, 202617 outcomesLive
Chart

Winner probabilities

All CLOB
Abelardo de la Espriella 82.5cIván Cepeda Castro 17.5cGustavo Bolívar (HC) 0.1cVicky Dávila (IND) 0.1cPaloma Valencia 0.1c
Markets

Outcome prices

17 outcomes
Live

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

...

Outcome proposed

Pending
...

Dispute window

Open until resolution
...

Final outcome

Awaiting official result
MI

MichaelGraff9h ago

They are getting carried away by FOMO. If you are from Colombia, you know that on social media the awakening that Abelardo is a bad candidate is gaining strength, and many are shifting their support to Cepeda... do your research.
DE

Delicious-Segment7h ago

IMO Cepeda/Petro only have done stupid things since their defeat last Sunday, I guess it depends on what social media channels we are checking. I'm from Colombia btw

Bulboor6h ago

WestCOL stream in the Indian village is going to be LIT! Cepeda by a million!

Onswaggie1d ago

Second Round wil be much tighter than these odds show. Cepeda is underpriced but Abelardo will probably win and that's good for Colombia and the continent, say no to socialists that don't fight crime.

0x-JayBee1d ago

The market is showing that Abelardo will probably win.

Onswaggie1d ago

I completely agree but second round should be tighter than what it's giving Cepeda right now

Bulboor23h ago

It's going to be tight tight tight oh yeah just bring me more of that
VA

Vapid-Enclave10h ago

A fascist, misogynistic, mafia-like, swindling guy, kneeling before the USA, who wants to leave the OAS and UN... who received money and defrauded Castro-Chavismo... and you say he's good for the continent... come on, we need to read more.

Onswaggie9h ago

Defrauded Castro and Chavism sounds incredible. You don’t have to convince me more.

crypto-basenji1d ago

Hey what happened with "solo Cepeda en esta monda" ball of pathetic losers lol, you need to activate your narco bots to pump Cepeda again, maybe will have to burn 10x more money this time

Bulboor23h ago

In my humble opinion Cepeda bettors are being offered amazing odds. Should be closer to 50/50 as some have commented.
SA

sagateira1023h ago

Voces acham que o papai Trump, e os republicanos vão ficar no poder a vida toda ? quando os democratas voltar ao poder, eu quero ver aonde essa turma da extrema direita vão se esconder. kkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkk