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Economy

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

$11K volume-- 24hEnds Dec 31, 202620c yesLive
Chart

Probability history

1D CLOB
YES 20cNO 80c
Market

Outcome prices

YES / NO
Live

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Outcome proposed

Pending
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Dispute window

Open until resolution
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Final outcome

Awaiting official result
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