Weather

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Prediction market

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Yes27%YesNo
No73%YesNo
$221K Vol.Polymarket
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?

Yes45%YesNo
No56%YesNo
$27K Vol.Polymarket
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?

Yes6.5%YesNo
No94%YesNo
$2K Vol.Polymarket
Prediction market

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Yes11%YesNo
No90%YesNo
$95K Vol.Polymarket
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be at least 5m square kilometers?

Yes0.7%YesNo
No99%YesNo
$14K Vol.Polymarket
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?

Yes29%YesNo
No71%YesNo
$5K Vol.Polymarket
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?

Yes4.4%YesNo
No96%YesNo
$3K Vol.Polymarket
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.8m & 5m square kilometers?

Yes2.1%YesNo
No98%YesNo
$2K Vol.Polymarket
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.2m & 4.4m square kilometers?

Yes11%YesNo
No89%YesNo
$1K Vol.Polymarket