US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes3.2%YesNoNo97%YesNo$14M Vol.Polymarket
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes14%YesNoNo87%YesNo$11M Vol.Polymarket
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes6.5%YesNoNo94%YesNo$2M Vol.Polymarket
Iran closes its airspace by...?Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes20%YesNoNo81%YesNo$3M Vol.Polymarket
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes5.3%YesNoNo95%YesNo$2M Vol.Polymarket
Iran leadership change by...?Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes4.3%YesNoNo96%YesNo$2M Vol.Polymarket
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes38%YesNoNo63%YesNo$4M Vol.Polymarket
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?Yes9.5%YesNoNo91%YesNo$155K Vol.Polymarket
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes1.8%YesNoNo98%YesNo$5M Vol.Polymarket
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes72%YesNoNo28%YesNo$7M Vol.Polymarket
Iran closes its airspace by...?Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes9.8%YesNoNo90%YesNo$1M Vol.Polymarket
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes55%YesNoNo46%YesNo$1M Vol.Polymarket
Iran leader end of 2026?Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes1.3%YesNoNo99%YesNo$2M Vol.Polymarket
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Yes64%YesNoNo37%YesNo$71K Vol.Polymarket
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?Yes1.1%YesNoNo99%YesNo$266K Vol.Polymarket
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes56%YesNoNo44%YesNo$1M Vol.Polymarket
Iran closes its airspace by...?Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes6.1%YesNoNo94%YesNo$39K Vol.Polymarket
Iran closes its airspace by...?Iran closes its airspace by July 31?Yes32%YesNoNo69%YesNo$65K Vol.Polymarket
Prediction marketCongress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?Yes21%YesNoNo79%YesNo$40K Vol.Polymarket
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes1.5%YesNoNo99%YesNo$386K Vol.Polymarket