OpenAI IPO Closing Market CapWill OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes22%YesNoNo78%YesNo$118K Vol.Polymarket
Prediction marketWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic77%YesNoOpenAI23%YesNo$99K Vol.Polymarket
OpenAI IPO Closing Market CapWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes13%YesNoNo87%YesNo$506K Vol.Polymarket
OpenAI IPO Closing Market CapWill OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Yes12%YesNoNo88%YesNo$277K Vol.Polymarket
OpenAI files IPO by...?Will OpenAI file for an IPO by June 5, 2026?Yes2.7%YesNoNo97%YesNo$12K Vol.Polymarket
Prediction marketAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic80%YesNoOpenAI20%YesNo$23K Vol.Polymarket
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Yes49%YesNoNo51%YesNo$63K Vol.Polymarket
OpenAI IPO Closing Market CapWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes13%YesNoNo87%YesNo$195K Vol.Polymarket
OpenAI IPO Closing Market CapWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes30%YesNoNo71%YesNo$334K Vol.Polymarket
OpenAI IPO Closing Market CapWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?Yes6.7%YesNoNo93%YesNo$154K Vol.Polymarket
OpenAI IPO Closing Market CapWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes6.2%YesNoNo94%YesNo$152K Vol.Polymarket
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?Yes94%YesNoNo6.5%YesNo$5K Vol.Polymarket
Prediction marketWill OpenAI release a social network in 2026?Yes27%YesNoNo74%YesNo$59K Vol.Polymarket
Prediction marketOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes13%YesNoNo88%YesNo$79K Vol.Polymarket
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?Yes64%YesNoNo37%YesNo$248K Vol.Polymarket
Prediction marketWill Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?Yes13%YesNoNo88%YesNo$5K Vol.Polymarket
Next OpenAI Model: Arena Debut?Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?Yes67%YesNoNo33%YesNo$27K Vol.Polymarket
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Yes36%YesNoNo64%YesNo$45K Vol.Polymarket
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?Yes9.5%YesNoNo91%YesNo$19K Vol.Polymarket
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Yes31%YesNoNo69%YesNo$29K Vol.Polymarket
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?Yes13%YesNoNo88%YesNo$22K Vol.Polymarket
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?Yes80%YesNoNo21%YesNo$1M Vol.Polymarket
OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes30%YesNoNo70%YesNo$25K Vol.Polymarket