

Economy · Macro Indicators
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026
Winner probabilities
Outcome prices









This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Outcome proposed
PendingDispute window
Open until resolutionFinal outcome
Awaiting official result
RichBou24d ago
According to IMF models, every 10% increase in oil prices adds 55bp to inflation in DMs. With oil up approx. 35% since the conflict began, this mechanical push adds ~1.9% to price levels. Expect EU year-end inflation to remain sticky around 3.8% - 4.0%, well above targetScamwiseGamgee103d ago
Official inflation below 2%, real 5-8%. Thanks Lagardectre133d ago
ghb cf