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Geopolitics · putin

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

$254K volume$10K 24hEnds Dec 31, 202610.5c yesLive
Chart

Probability history

1D CLOB
YES 10.5cNO 89.5c
Market

Outcome prices

YES / NO
Live

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Outcome proposed

Pending
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Dispute window

Open until resolution
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Final outcome

Awaiting official result

DontTrustMe80d ago

Which country people think of realistically?

Volku80d ago

any Baltic states esp. Latvia or Estonia or Russian part of Moldova - Nadniestrze
LE

leksus67d ago

what a nonsense

pjotrekkk61d ago

Estonia. Navra. most of people there are ethinc russians and it is a border city

Master-bettor89d ago

i believe in you russia