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Economy · fomc

Fed Decision in July?

$8M volume$123K 24hEnds Jul 29, 20265 outcomesLive
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Winner probabilities

All CLOB
No change 92.5c25 bps increase 5.6c25 bps decrease 2c50+ bps decrease 0.8c50+ bps increase 0.3c
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5 outcomes
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The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.

If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

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