Tech · Business

How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?

$63K volume$2K 24hEnds Jun 30, 20269 outcomesLive

Chart

Winner probabilities

All CLOB

450k–475k 36.1c425k–450k 23c475k+ 22.9c400k–425k 10.2c350k–375k 9c

Markets

Outcome prices

9 outcomes

450k–475k$6K vol

36.1cSelected

Buy Yes 36.1c Buy No 64c

425k–450k$6K vol

23cChance

Buy Yes 23c Buy No 77c

475k+$5K vol

22.9cChance

Buy Yes 22.9c Buy No 77.1c

400k–425k$11K vol

10.2cChance

Buy Yes 10.2c Buy No 89.9c

350k–375k$12K vol

9cChance

Buy Yes 9c Buy No 91c

375k–400k$8K vol

8cChance

Buy Yes 8c Buy No 92c

325k–350k$4K vol

1.4cChance

Buy Yes 1.4c Buy No 98.6c

300k–325k$4K vol

0.9cChance

Buy Yes 0.9c Buy No 99.1c

<300k$6K vol

0.5cChance

Buy Yes 0.5c Buy No 99.6c

Live

This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026.

If Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.

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Outcome proposed

Pending

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Dispute window

Open until resolution

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Final outcome

Awaiting official result