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Politics · Foreign Policy

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

$8M volume$54K 24hEnds Jun 30, 202619 outcomesLive
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Winner probabilities

All CLOB
No Meeting by June 30 57.7cPakistan 20.6cSwitzerland 10.5cQatar 4cUSA 2cUAE 0.1c
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19 outcomes
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This market will resolve according to the country in which the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.

Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.

The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.

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Outcome proposed

No
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Dispute window

No dispute
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Final outcome

No
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