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Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?

$62K volume$729.72 24hEnds Dec 31, 202686.5c yesLive
Chart

Probability history

1D CLOB
YES 86.5cNO 13.5c
Market

Outcome prices

YES / NO
Live

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Cursor will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Mergers or acquisitions involving Cursor or its parent company (if applicable), and SpaceX or its parent company, Space Exploration Technologies Corp., will qualify.

An announcement by Cursor or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.

Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.

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Outcome proposed

Pending
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Dispute window

Open until resolution
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Final outcome

Awaiting official result
SP

SpaceXMoon15d ago

wait I thought they suppose to use all Colossus power together with Cursor to become the world leading AI??? They rent it all to direct competitor Anthropic?lulz
SP

SpaceXMoon16d ago

nothing burger? why they mentioned about 10b fee if SpaceX actually plans to acquire it? looks like pre IPO hyoe
VE

vegashell28d ago

Spacex did similar compute deal with Anthropic just now...its a business model starting to take shape, no way they'll acquire their most paying customers
SP

SpaceXMoon33d ago

Worlds richest person can’t buy Cursor, that is why he postpones the deal to a later moment this year😂 does it make sense?
GI

Gigantic-Dwelling-Mincemeat36d ago

The 60b is Stock options in spacex. They need cursor to juice revenue in Xai/grok and mine data.

Pump37d ago

People saw an announcement and giving x4 odds for the Cursor acquisition while it’s making 2b annually and xAI is already sufficient by itself, just lacking correct tools, that is why they signed a joint collaboration. Does it make sense paying 60b when they can get the same staff for xAI for 10b? SpaceX is going to raise around 75b during IPO and going to spend it all on another AI???🤣Even Grok says it’s a joint collaboration rather than a straightforward acquisition. And eeeeven if they indeed decide to buy it, there is no much time left in 2026, so probably going to be 2027 after all tests and realization they really need it. Goodluck
EN

enrico-vasaio43d ago

Don't they know they can acquire cursor for free on their website ??
RO

Roxxie43d ago

Why would SpaceX do that?

dudpnp44d ago

60 billion is way too much
ZE

zeroxxfliz43d ago

exactly,may be they acquire but properly not at 60B