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Makerfield by-election Winner

$2M volume$130K 24hEnds Jun 18, 20267 outcomesLive
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Winner probabilities

All CLOB
Andy Burnham 80.5cRobert Kenyon 17.5cRebecca Shepherd 2.4cJames Thomas Bryer 0.1cSimon Finkelstein 0.1c
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Outcome prices

7 outcomes
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A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).

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FO

Fond-Killing9h ago

God Damn It! If Restore Britain really loves this country, they should step down in Makerfield and let Reform win. They are splitting the right.

Jabotinsky8d ago

Where is Count Binface? Please can we add the serious political heavyweights.

Lowtaperfade14d ago

A market can be so easy sometimes, I don't even need to do any research if I see all my favourite sharps on the same side lmao
ZA

ZachMariani1d ago

Hey do you have a Twitter/Discord?
CA

Candid-Fingernail14d ago

Makerfield is a majority white, Christian and British constituency where 65% of the population voted to leave the EU
CR

Crafty-Drink13d ago

Support for Brexit has waned across the country, around 40-60% now. I doubt if there's much of a majority left in this constituency. Wigan voted 66.1% Burnham in 2024 verses 11.5% Reform in the Mayoral elections, so he has enormous appeal, far more than any other Labour candidate. This explains why he's the strong favourite. Although Restore won't get a large vote, they can damage Reform's chances far more than the Greens can damage Burnham.

Obamnna14d ago

"Hey look at how hard Ladbrokes is raping their customers the odds should be the same here"
MA

MaxShorter14d ago

😄

perfectnostalgia14d ago

Fresh anon account pumping buying tons of Shepherd and nothing else, UK bookies talking about big restore flows. Feels like someone could be trying to pump the odds to artificially lift her relevance...
MA

Mammoth-Man16d ago

Rebecca Shephard splitting the reform-vote?
GL

Glistening-Spit16d ago

You mean splitting the right wing vote, and while technically the answer is yes, it can not be looked at it that way. Lowe and Restore are changing UK politics, just look what they have achieved in Great Yarmouth. People are starting to see that you need to vote for a party that aligns with you, rather than party which you believe has the best chance of winning which aligns with whatever side of the fence you're on. Lowe is doing it right. She has a great chance and I think they're going to throw everything at this one. Great odds right now on Rebecca Shepherd, that will change.

iusedtowritepoetryforaliving16d ago

Lmao