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Politics · Trump

Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?

$670K volume$51K 24hEnds Jun 30, 202620 outcomesLive
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Winner probabilities

All CLOB
Jimmy Kimmel 59cNorah O'Donnell 54.5cJerome Powell 51cMegyn Kelly 48cNicolás Maduro 40.5cElon Musk 5.5c
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

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