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Geopolitics · Syria

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

$49K volume$5K 24hEnds Dec 31, 202616 outcomesLive
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Winner probabilities

All CLOB
Lebanon 18.5cIndonesia 13.5cSaudi Arabia 12.5cVenezuela 12.5cKuwait 12.5cCuba 11.5c
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16 outcomes
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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