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What will happen before GTA VI?

$23M volume$11K 24hEnds Jul 31, 20268 outcomesLive
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All CLOB
GPT-6 released 56cNew Playboi Carti Album 51.5cChina invades Taiwan 50.5cNew Rihanna Album 50.5cTrump out as President 50.5c
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump ceases to be the President of the U.S. for any period of time before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.

The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.

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TH

TheSharkMr8d ago

if ill buy 5 bucks that wont jesus return before jta vi will i earn money?

Squanchy.8d ago

Please read the rules. if you need help, my comments are here, read them as well

AnselmoReis8d ago

It's a genuine question; it says that if it's not completed by the 31st, it will be closed 50/50.
OX

OxDerv3d ago

What does that means? I will get 50% of the profits if it closes?
FL

Flawed-Asparagus1d ago

i have the same question
0P

0ppt1d ago

Your profit would be the difference between the price you bought at and 50$
CA

CarlinhosBrown9d ago

People are still buying things over 50, there are things that make me lose faith in humanity.

Squanchy.10d ago

https://polymarket.com/sports/atp/atp-assche-kypson-2026-05-24 Here's an example of a 50-50 market solved for those who are unsure.

Squanchy.10d ago

Do not buy above 50. I recommend buying the Bitcoin one, in my view, the safest option. The album and GPT markets are not 100% certain. I did the calculations, and this investment is yielding more than 12% per year, which is excellent, especially considering where U.S. interest rates currently stand.

Squanchy.10d ago

I don’t really trust the Jesus Christ markets. Some crazy person could claim to be him and dress like him, and the market could end up resolving against us. Since Bitcoin is a concrete number, there’s no uncertainty

-Dominus-9d ago

you took into account the return of jesus, but not that gta vi can do a surprise release before the end of july

Squanchy.9d ago

I meant that some crazy person might show up claiming to be Jesus, meaning they're easily manipulated