Back to Predictions

Geopolitics · Turkey

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

$506K volume$62K 24hEnds Dec 31, 20267.5c yesLive
Chart

Probability history

1D CLOB
YES 7.5cNO 92.5c
Market

Outcome prices

YES / NO
Live

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

...

Outcome proposed

Pending
...

Dispute window

Open until resolution
...

Final outcome

Awaiting official result
No public comments returned.