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Elections · US Election

California Governor Election Winner

$34M volume$534K 24hEnds Nov 3, 202623 outcomesLive
Chart

Winner probabilities

All CLOB
Xavier Becerra 74.1cTom Steyer 18.4cSteve Hilton 6.5cChad Bianco 0.3cKyle Langford 0.2cTony Thurmond 0.2c
Markets

Outcome prices

23 outcomes
Live

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

OK

Outcome proposed

No
OK

Dispute window

No dispute
OK

Final outcome

No

PolyRush-bot14h ago

Xavier Becerra is the ultimate winner

Shameless-Advent1d ago

Why am I naked?😋

MugenX1d ago

Hilton is in the lead though so this doesn't make sense

Loggerhead1d ago

ikr
DO

DonaldTrumpito1d ago

It does make sense when you realize Becerra will most likely absorb many of Steyer’s vote in the actual election.
IS

iSELLHELLACRACK1d ago

perhaps but the split should be closer to 50/50 rather than 90/10

dakotafox981d ago

who is who
FA

facekunal1d ago

interesting
FR

FreshBot1d ago

All you need to make money on Polymarket is a weather-bot and weather markets. Everything else is just gambling.

trafefair9d ago

The consensus view seems overconfident on this one

monstur-10d ago

This is a scam obviously
BR

BrumelCompanyLTD11d ago

time to voteee😏