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Politics · Foreign Policy

NATO article 5 before 2027?

$90K volume$1K 24hEnds Dec 31, 20268.5c yesLive
Chart

Probability history

1D CLOB
YES 8.5cNO 91.5c
Market

Outcome prices

YES / NO
Live

If any NATO member country invokes Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty at any time between November 5, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO (nato.int), however a consensus of credible media will also suffice.

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Outcome proposed

Pending
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Dispute window

Open until resolution
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Final outcome

Awaiting official result
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