Politics · World

Iran Nuke before 2027?

$664K volume$12K 24hEnds Dec 31, 20268.3c yesLive

Chart

Probability history

1D CLOB

YES 8.3cNO 91.8c

Market

Outcome prices

YES / NO

Iran Nuke before 2027$664K vol

8.3cChance

Buy Yes 8.3c Buy No 91.8c

Live

This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

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Outcome proposed

Pending

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Dispute window

Open until resolution

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Final outcome

Awaiting official result