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Next French Presidential Election

$91M volume$779K 24hEnds Apr 30, 202736 outcomesLive
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Winner probabilities

All CLOB
Jordan Bardella 26.5cÉdouard Philippe 16.5cJean-Luc Mélenchon 12.5cGabriel Attal 6.5cMarine Le Pen 5.5cÉric Zemmour 1.1c
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Outcome prices

36 outcomes
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The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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PA

paulenskate13h ago

Lisnard sûrement pas président mais au dessus de 3% ça c’est certain🤑🤑

beansontoasts3d ago

Ok let me help you: Bardella is first in the polls so he will be in the second tour, which means 40-60% depending on how he does during the debates.
JO

john-difool2d ago

No...
KO

KolevStefan20033d ago

I live in France, and I’m convinced that Mélenchon will win. People are exhausted by the lies told by the pseudo-socialists and the center over the last few decades. Meanwhile, Bardella is often viewed as too young and inexperienced to lead. Because the right, the center, and the 'pseudo-left' are perceived as too sloppy to win, they have inadvertently made Mélenchon appear to be the only viable option for a shift toward a fairer system, one with a social program focused on helping the poorest and ending concessions to the wealthy.

jijitmu3d ago

Lol
PE

peanutbutter593d ago

Trying to lower the "No" cost on Melenchon there

beansontoasts3d ago

Trop drôle merci, maintenant put your money where your mouth is
ID

Idiocr4cy2d ago

You're so funny, left gonna lose as evry time cause young french people are lazy fuckers unable to vote. Left side love the strike not the vote
DE

Decisive-Tablecloth14h ago

The left has been ruling France for 50 years. How can you say that the left "always loses" lol
IG

Igamblenow3d ago

The stable candidate for the system always wins
JO

john-difool2d ago

And for this time it's Dominique de Villepin.

LiquidatedDegen3d ago

nidrac2 hit me on X I wanna chat.