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Economy · Jerome Powell

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

$2M volume$3K 24hEnds Dec 31, 202620 outcomesLive
Chart

Winner probabilities

All CLOB
↓ 3.25% 30.5c↓ 3.0% 12c↑ 4.25% 11.5c↓ 2.75% 6.2c↓ 1.75% 6c↓ 2.0% 4.8c
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Outcome prices

20 outcomes
Live

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.

The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:

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Outcome proposed

Pending
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Dispute window

Open until resolution
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Final outcome

Awaiting official result
WH

whumpa74d ago

I'm cooked

SatoshiBladerunner165d ago

Watching a massive 500k sell-wall get chipped away. The buyers here have serious capital.
CH

chgltk171d ago

What the hell is over here 10% of free money?

Aldrach178d ago

It'll be a slow walk down from where we are now. They want to hit the sweet spot, not crash anything. Expect a lot of little 0.25% cuts over the next two years.