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Geopolitics · Israel

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

$415K volume$9K 24hEnds Jun 30, 202615 outcomesLive
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Winner probabilities

All CLOB
Tunisia 4cIndonesia 2.7cLebanon 2.6cQatar 2.6cMalaysia 2.6cIraq 0.3c
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Outcome prices

15 outcomes
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This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

OK

Outcome proposed

No
OK

Dispute window

No dispute
OK

Final outcome

No
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