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Politics · US Election

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

$251K volume$0.90 24hEnds Nov 3, 202610 outcomesLive
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Winner probabilities

All CLOB
Below 190 29.5c195-199 19c190-194 13c210-214 10.4c215-219 9.2c225-229 3.9c
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The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.

This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.

A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

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MI

MiflinTheGreat24d ago

great time to buy below 190. All the rigging of the map also dilutes strong R districts putting them in play. If the voting ends up +10% D swing the Rs lose more than they otherwise would have. All the recent odd year and special elections have been approx 20%+ swings in the favor of Ds. 10%+ for Ds would yield ~185 R seats.
CO

Colorful-Blogger89d ago

why don't 40% Below 190 ?