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Economy · Fed

Fed rate cut by...?

$2M volume$16K 24hEnds Jun 17, 20265 outcomesLive
Chart

Winner probabilities

All CLOB
December Meeting 29.5cOctober Meeting 21.1cSeptember Meeting 13.2cJuly Meeting 6.5cJune Meeting 0.9c
Markets

Outcome prices

5 outcomes
Live

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for June 2026, currently scheduled for June 16-17. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no June meeting takes place by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".

Emergency rate cuts will qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

OK

Outcome proposed

No
OK

Dispute window

No dispute
OK

Final outcome

No
QU

QuietArb78d ago

Still a lot of room for surprises.

Equoia84d ago

If new FED chairman Warsh will cut rate by end of meeting JUNE 16-17 this will be YES,right?
JE

Jeffrey-Einstein84d ago

its a board who votes, yk that right, not just one guy

Equoia83d ago

Ok,if board will cut it on june meeting 16-17 is it yes, or until this meeting.
MA

Maraq79d ago

Biggest risk for june meeting is that Warsh won't be there
LO

lox-frogs78d ago

Which is nil?
MA

Maraq71d ago

no, more than 10% for sure
LO

lox-frogs66d ago

Interesting. do they have that literal market? what's best market to take action on that?
MA

Maraq62d ago

yes "Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?" He should be confirmed by may 15 or its major fuck up by the administration
JE

Jeffrey-Einstein88d ago

no

serghei555689d ago

march of corse

Angel55583d ago

aprile