Geopolitics

Geopolitics Live

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Iran closes its airspace by...?

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes20%YesNo
No81%YesNo
$3M Vol.Polymarket
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes5.3%YesNo
No95%YesNo
$2M Vol.Polymarket
Prediction market

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Yes30%YesNo
No71%YesNo
$5M Vol.Polymarket
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Yes1.8%YesNo
No98%YesNo
$5M Vol.Polymarket
Iran closes its airspace by...?

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Yes9.8%YesNo
No90%YesNo
$1M Vol.Polymarket
Iran leader end of 2026?

Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes1.3%YesNo
No99%YesNo
$2M Vol.Polymarket
Prediction market

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes17%YesNo
No84%YesNo
$34M Vol.Polymarket
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Yes56%YesNo
No44%YesNo
$1M Vol.Polymarket
Iran closes its airspace by...?

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Yes5.9%YesNo
No94%YesNo
$39K Vol.Polymarket
Iran closes its airspace by...?

Iran closes its airspace by July 31?

Yes32%YesNo
No69%YesNo
$65K Vol.Polymarket
Prediction market

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?

Yes21%YesNo
No79%YesNo
$40K Vol.Polymarket
Prediction market

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Yes67%YesNo
No33%YesNo
$2M Vol.Polymarket
Iran leader end of 2026?

Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes0.3%YesNo
No100%YesNo
$142K Vol.Polymarket
Iran leader end of 2026?

Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?

Yes3.2%YesNo
No97%YesNo
$737K Vol.Polymarket
Prediction market

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Yes4.8%YesNo
No95%YesNo
$2M Vol.Polymarket
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Yes9.5%YesNo
No91%YesNo
$3M Vol.Polymarket
Iran leader end of 2026?

Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes3.9%YesNo
No96%YesNo
$456K Vol.Polymarket
Iran leader end of 2026?

Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes2.7%YesNo
No97%YesNo
$406K Vol.Polymarket
Iran leader end of 2026?

Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes1.5%YesNo
No99%YesNo
$1M Vol.Polymarket
Iran leader end of 2026?

Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes1.3%YesNo
No99%YesNo
$542K Vol.Polymarket
Prediction market

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes16%YesNo
No85%YesNo
$2M Vol.Polymarket
Iran leader end of 2026?

Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes0.2%YesNo
No100%YesNo
$135K Vol.Polymarket
Iran leader end of 2026?

Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes1%YesNo
No99%YesNo
$397K Vol.Polymarket
Iran leader end of 2026?

Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes0.9%YesNo
No99%YesNo
$596K Vol.Polymarket