Macro

Macro Live

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Fed Decision in June?

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes0.9%YesNo
No99%YesNo
$11M Vol.Polymarket
Fed Decision in June?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes98%YesNo
No1.8%YesNo
$10M Vol.Polymarket
Fed Decision in June?

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes0.4%YesNo
No100%YesNo
$9M Vol.Polymarket
Fed Decision in June?

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes0.2%YesNo
No100%YesNo
$13M Vol.Polymarket
Fed Decision in June?

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes0.5%YesNo
No100%YesNo
$14M Vol.Polymarket
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes0.4%YesNo
No100%YesNo
$3M Vol.Polymarket
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes0.4%YesNo
No100%YesNo
$2M Vol.Polymarket
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes69%YesNo
No31%YesNo
$5M Vol.Polymarket
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes0.3%YesNo
No100%YesNo
$4M Vol.Polymarket
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes0.4%YesNo
No100%YesNo
$3M Vol.Polymarket
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes0.3%YesNo
No100%YesNo
$4M Vol.Polymarket
Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

Yes0.9%YesNo
No99%YesNo
$476K Vol.Polymarket
Prediction market

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes40%YesNo
No61%YesNo
$1M Vol.Polymarket
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes5.5%YesNo
No95%YesNo
$1M Vol.Polymarket
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes0.4%YesNo
No100%YesNo
$2M Vol.Polymarket
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes0.5%YesNo
No99%YesNo
$3M Vol.Polymarket
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes0.9%YesNo
No99%YesNo
$2M Vol.Polymarket
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes1.2%YesNo
No99%YesNo
$1M Vol.Polymarket
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes2.8%YesNo
No97%YesNo
$1M Vol.Polymarket
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes19%YesNo
No82%YesNo
$1M Vol.Polymarket
Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

Yes6.5%YesNo
No94%YesNo
$93K Vol.Polymarket
Bank of Canada decision in June?

Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?

Yes99%YesNo
No1.1%YesNo
$21K Vol.Polymarket
May Unemployment Rate

Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?

Yes5%YesNo
No95%YesNo
LIVE$3K Vol.Polymarket
Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Yes30%YesNo
No71%YesNo
$128K Vol.Polymarket