Geopolitics

Geopolitics Live

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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Yes49%YesNo
No51%YesNo
$1M Vol.Polymarket
Prediction market

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes8.5%YesNo
No92%YesNo
$7M Vol.Polymarket
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Yes11%YesNo
No90%YesNo
$588K Vol.Polymarket
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Yes31%YesNo
No70%YesNo
$171K Vol.Polymarket
Prediction market

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Yes1.2%YesNo
No99%YesNo
$3M Vol.Polymarket
Prediction market

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Yes11%YesNo
No90%YesNo
$254K Vol.Polymarket
Prediction market

Russia coup attempt in 2026?

Yes8.5%YesNo
No92%YesNo
$40K Vol.Polymarket
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?

Yes5.9%YesNo
No94%YesNo
$135K Vol.Polymarket
Prediction market

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Yes17%YesNo
No84%YesNo
$496K Vol.Polymarket
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?

Yes19%YesNo
No82%YesNo
$13K Vol.Polymarket
Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes0.3%YesNo
No100%YesNo
$265K Vol.Polymarket
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by...?

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Yes72%YesNo
No28%YesNo
$62K Vol.Polymarket
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by...?

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Yes13%YesNo
No87%YesNo
$75K Vol.Polymarket
NATO x Russia military clash by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?

Yes2.1%YesNo
No98%YesNo
$991K Vol.Polymarket
Prediction market

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Yes17%YesNo
No84%YesNo
$588K Vol.Polymarket
Bank of Russia decision in June?

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?

Yes12%YesNo
No89%YesNo
$16K Vol.Polymarket
Bank of Russia decision in June?

Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?

Yes89%YesNo
No11%YesNo
$26K Vol.Polymarket
Bank of Russia decision in June?

Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?

Yes0.8%YesNo
No99%YesNo
$28K Vol.Polymarket
NATO x Russia military clash by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Yes16%YesNo
No84%YesNo
$305K Vol.Polymarket
Prediction market

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?

Yes1.7%YesNo
No98%YesNo
$235K Vol.Polymarket
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?

Yes21%YesNo
No79%YesNo
$4K Vol.Polymarket
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?

Yes1%YesNo
No99%YesNo
$358K Vol.Polymarket
Prediction market

Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?

Yes3.8%YesNo
No96%YesNo
$45K Vol.Polymarket
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?

Yes9.5%YesNo
No91%YesNo
$7K Vol.Polymarket