Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes49%YesNoNo51%YesNo$1M Vol.Polymarket
Prediction marketPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes8.5%YesNoNo92%YesNo$7M Vol.Polymarket
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes11%YesNoNo90%YesNo$588K Vol.Polymarket
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes31%YesNoNo70%YesNo$171K Vol.Polymarket
Prediction marketPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes1.2%YesNoNo99%YesNo$3M Vol.Polymarket
Prediction marketWill Russia invade another country in 2026?Yes11%YesNoNo90%YesNo$254K Vol.Polymarket
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?Yes5.9%YesNoNo94%YesNo$135K Vol.Polymarket
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?Yes19%YesNoNo82%YesNo$13K Vol.Polymarket
Russia Parliamentary Election WinnerWill Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes0.3%YesNoNo100%YesNo$265K Vol.Polymarket
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by...?Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes72%YesNoNo28%YesNo$62K Vol.Polymarket
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by...?Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes13%YesNoNo87%YesNo$75K Vol.Polymarket
NATO x Russia military clash by...?NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Yes2.1%YesNoNo98%YesNo$991K Vol.Polymarket
Prediction marketWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes17%YesNoNo84%YesNo$588K Vol.Polymarket
Bank of Russia decision in June?Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?Yes12%YesNoNo89%YesNo$16K Vol.Polymarket
Bank of Russia decision in June?Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?Yes89%YesNoNo11%YesNo$26K Vol.Polymarket
Bank of Russia decision in June?Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?Yes0.8%YesNoNo99%YesNo$28K Vol.Polymarket
NATO x Russia military clash by...?NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes16%YesNoNo84%YesNo$305K Vol.Polymarket
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Yes21%YesNoNo79%YesNo$4K Vol.Polymarket
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?Yes1%YesNoNo99%YesNo$358K Vol.Polymarket
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes9.5%YesNoNo91%YesNo$7K Vol.Polymarket