Fed Decision in June?Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes0.9%YesNoNo99%YesNo$11M Vol.Polymarket
Fed Decision in June?Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes98%YesNoNo1.8%YesNo$10M Vol.Polymarket
Fed Decision in June?Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes0.4%YesNoNo100%YesNo$9M Vol.Polymarket
Fed Decision in June?Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes0.2%YesNoNo100%YesNo$13M Vol.Polymarket
Fed Decision in June?Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes0.5%YesNoNo100%YesNo$14M Vol.Polymarket
Largest Company end of June?Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes0.2%YesNoNo100%YesNo$3M Vol.Polymarket
Largest Company end of June?Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes95%YesNoNo5.5%YesNo$2M Vol.Polymarket
Largest Company end of June?Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes0.2%YesNoNo100%YesNo$3M Vol.Polymarket
Largest Company end of June?Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes0.1%YesNoNo100%YesNo$4M Vol.Polymarket
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?Yes3.3%YesNoNo97%YesNo$502K Vol.Polymarket
Largest Company end of December 2026?Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes0.8%YesNoNo99%YesNo$365K Vol.Polymarket
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Yes42%YesNoNo59%YesNo$13K Vol.Polymarket
Prediction marketTesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?Yes0.7%YesNoNo99%YesNo$107K Vol.Polymarket
How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026Yes35%YesNoNo65%YesNo$6K Vol.Polymarket
How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026Yes24%YesNoNo76%YesNo$5K Vol.Polymarket
How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026Yes10%YesNoNo90%YesNo$11K Vol.Polymarket
How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q2 2026Yes9.2%YesNoNo91%YesNo$12K Vol.Polymarket
How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?Will Tesla deliver between 300000 and 325000 vehicles in Q2 2026Yes0.9%YesNoNo99%YesNo$4K Vol.Polymarket
How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q2 2026Yes8%YesNoNo92%YesNo$8K Vol.Polymarket
How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?Will Tesla deliver between 325000 and 350000 vehicles in Q2 2026Yes1.4%YesNoNo99%YesNo$4K Vol.Polymarket
How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?Will Tesla deliver less than 300000 vehicles in Q2 2026Yes0.5%YesNoNo100%YesNo$6K Vol.Polymarket
How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026Yes22%YesNoNo79%YesNo$6K Vol.Polymarket
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?Yes14%YesNoNo86%YesNo$6K Vol.Polymarket
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?Yes1.2%YesNoNo99%YesNo$92K Vol.Polymarket