Macro

Macro Live

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Fed Decision in June?

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes0.9%YesNo
No99%YesNo
$11M Vol.Polymarket
Fed Decision in June?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes98%YesNo
No1.8%YesNo
$10M Vol.Polymarket
Fed Decision in June?

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes0.4%YesNo
No100%YesNo
$9M Vol.Polymarket
Fed Decision in June?

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes0.2%YesNo
No100%YesNo
$13M Vol.Polymarket
Fed Decision in June?

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes0.5%YesNo
No100%YesNo
$14M Vol.Polymarket
Fed Decision in July?

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes0.3%YesNo
No100%YesNo
$1M Vol.Polymarket
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes0.4%YesNo
No100%YesNo
$3M Vol.Polymarket
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes0.4%YesNo
No100%YesNo
$2M Vol.Polymarket
Prediction market

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

Yes1.7%YesNo
No98%YesNo
$218K Vol.Polymarket
ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?

Yes3.2%YesNo
No97%YesNo
$152K Vol.Polymarket
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes69%YesNo
No31%YesNo
$5M Vol.Polymarket
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes0.3%YesNo
No100%YesNo
$4M Vol.Polymarket
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes0.4%YesNo
No100%YesNo
$3M Vol.Polymarket
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes0.3%YesNo
No100%YesNo
$4M Vol.Polymarket
May Inflation US - Annual

Will annual inflation be 3.5% in May?

Yes0.1%YesNo
No100%YesNo
$37K Vol.Polymarket
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

Yes1.1%YesNo
No99%YesNo
$171K Vol.Polymarket
Fed Decision in July?

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes2.1%YesNo
No98%YesNo
$765K Vol.Polymarket
Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

Yes0.9%YesNo
No99%YesNo
$476K Vol.Polymarket
Prediction market

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes40%YesNo
No61%YesNo
$1M Vol.Polymarket
Fed Decision in July?

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes0.8%YesNo
No99%YesNo
$989K Vol.Polymarket
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes5.5%YesNo
No95%YesNo
$1M Vol.Polymarket
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes0.4%YesNo
No100%YesNo
$2M Vol.Polymarket
ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?

Yes97%YesNo
No3.4%YesNo
$157K Vol.Polymarket
Fed Decision in July?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes93%YesNo
No7.5%YesNo
$961K Vol.Polymarket